Growing aluminium demand to drive global non-ferrous metals market through 2020

According to the latest market study released by Technavio, the global non-ferrous metals market is expected to grow at a CAGR of close to 5 per cent during 2016-2020. The market will be largely driven the aluminium industry growth.

The global aluminium market shipped 70.37 million metric tons of products in 2015 and this will reach 88.97 million metric tons by 2020, growing at a CAGR close to 5 per cent. In terms of demand, China is the largest market for aluminium, accounting for 44 per cent of the global market due primarily to its large base of manufacturing companies. However, it has been experiencing a slowdown in growth rate in the last few years due to the import and export duties imposed by partner countries and the closing of smelters.

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China is focusing on maintaining its internal market by discouraging the export of primary aluminium through the imposition of higher duties. At the same time, the country is giving value-added tax rebates on the export of semi-fabricated and value added products, thus encouraging the export of higher value products.

Flat-rolled products are the most used form of aluminium and account for 35 per cent of the global market. Most of the demand comes from sheets and plates due to their extensive application in sectors such as automotive and transport, aircraft and defence, building and construction, electricals, and can stock. Casting is the second largest form of aluminium accounting for 26 per cent of the total market share.

The top vendors highlighted by Technavio’s research analysts in this report are: Alcoa, BHP Billiton, Glencore, Hindalco-Novelis, Rio Tinto, RUSAL, and Vale.

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