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AL CIRCLE

Where the aluminium demand is: Downstream, end-user & recycling trends that matter in 2025

EDITED BY : 3MINS READ

One metal consistently stands out in a world navigating towards decarbonisation, resource efficiency, and circularity: Aluminium. Lightweight, endlessly recyclable, and a strategic material across sectors, aluminium is now central to global sustainability transitions—and the recently published study ‘Global Downstream, End User and Recycled Aluminium Industry Outlook 2025’ by AL Circle is the definitive framework for what's next.

Aluminium Downstream

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This study isn't just another market overview. It's a ‘Must-Read Report of the Year’—a strategic compass for executives, policymakers, and planners across the downstream, end-use, and recycling sectors. If your business touches aluminium, you need this on your desk.

Downstream dynamics: Aluminium demand on a steady climb

According to the report, global aluminium consumption is projected to cross 100 million tonnes in 2025, up from 93.5 million tonnes in 2021. That’s a CAGR of over 3.3 per cent—steady, resilient growth even amid geopolitical tensions and supply chain headwinds.

What’s consuming all this aluminium?

  • Extrusions: 34 per cent of global usage (construction, automotive, transport)
  • Flat Rolled Products (FRP): 32 per cent (aerospace, packaging, marine, electronics)
  • Castings: 23 per cent
  • Wires & cables: 8 per cent
  • Other applications: 3 per cent

These downstream segments don’t just dominate demand—they define the future of aluminium. The report breaks down each category with forecasts, regional dynamics, end-use trends, and trade analysis, making it indispensable for producers, processors, and traders.

End-use sectors: The engine of aluminium growth

The automotive industry in the transportation sector remains a game-changer. EVs alone are projected to drive demand up tenfold by 2030. Aluminium’s role in lightweight vehicles is vital to improving energy efficiency and reducing emissions. The shift from steel to aluminium is no longer speculative—it’s happening now.

In the construction sector, global growth is expected to remain steady, ensuring demand for extrusions, FRP, and castings.

Packaging, particularly aluminium cans and foils, is growing at a CAGR of over 4-5%, driven by urbanisation, sustainability preferences, and recyclability.

Recycling: The pulse of a circular aluminium economy

If there’s one thing decision-makers cannot ignore, it’s the revolution in recycled aluminium. The report highlights that more than 50 per cent of aluminium in Europe now comes from recycled sources, and there is a high-rise trend globally.

Global recycled aluminium usage is projected to soar between 2023 and 2025, thanks to:

  • Explosive EV and solar growth
  • Strong post-consumer scrap collection
  • Regulatory tailwinds favouring low-carbon materials
  • Technological advances in sorting, dross recovery, and secondary smelting

It’s not just about volume—it’s about cost, carbon, and competitiveness. Aluminium recycling requires only 5 per cent of the energy used in primary production. For companies under ESG pressure, recycled content is no longer a bonus—it’s a baseline.

Why this report matters to decision-makers

Whether you're an aluminium trader, downstream fabricator, recycler, or end-use OEM, your decisions in 2025 and beyond will define your competitiveness. This report gives you:

  • Forecasts you can bank on—validated by global data, trade flows, and expert interviews
  • Segmentation that gets granular—by region, sector, product type, and process
  • Risks and scenarios—from trade disruptions to energy crises and climate targets
  • Actionable insights—from Industry 4.0 to carbon-neutral product innovation
  • Competitive intelligence—on what industry leaders are doing

In short, it's a boardroom briefing and operations manual rolled into one.

The verdict: Essential reading for a critical year

2025 won’t be just another year—it’s the pivot point for aluminium’s role in energy, mobility, and climate strategy. The ‘Global Downstream, End User and Recycled Aluminium Industry Outlook 2025’ by AL Circle is not just a report—it’s a strategic advantage.

For decision-makers in the aluminium industry, this is your moment. Make the most informed, future-ready, and sustainable choices possible. Start with this study—and stay ahead of the curve. Register to subscribe

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